| Middle East →Today marks two years since Hamas’s deadly attack on Israelis at the Nova festival and surrounding areas. More than 1,200 Israelis were killed and 251 taken hostage. As Israel presses on with its military campaign across the enclave, Gazans face a deepening humanitarian crisis marked by famine and mass displacement. At the same time, President Trump is advancing a U.S.-brokered peace plan, backed by Israel and several Arab states, that would place Gaza under a technocratic Palestinian government with international oversight. Optimism has surged around the proposed comprehensive Gaza ceasefire. Details remain to be worked out – in particular around the timeline for Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and Hamas’s disarmament – but the Trump White House is pushing hard for a deal to be finalized in the coming days. If a war-ending agreement is achieved, we expect Trump’s team to chase that success with efforts to revitalize the Abraham Accords. For that to happen, however, Trump will need to convince Israel to shelve plans for West Bank annexation, which both the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia have indicated would be a dealbreaker for their future ties with Israel. All of this places Prime Minister Netanyahu in a difficult situation. If he agrees to the ceasefire AND concedes on West Bank annexation, he will likely lose the support of the right flank of his coalition and risk losing his Prime Ministership. International Affairs →On Monday, France Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu resigned just 26 days into the job. This marks the third French premier to quit since December. His departure leaves President Emmanuel Macron scrambling to produce a “stability plan” by Wednesday, with few viable options left beyond calling new elections that could hand major gains to Marine Le Pen’s far right →On Monday, Madagascar’s President Andry Rajoelina appointed army general Ruphin Fortunat Dimbisoa Zafisambo as prime minister in a bid to calm nationwide protests over ongoing water and power shortages. Despite this move, Gen Z-led demonstrators continue to call for Rajoelina’s resignation, sparking clashes with security forces in Antananarivo that have left dozens injured. →On Sunday, a Russian drone struck a railway station in Shostka, Ukraine, injuring at least 30 people and damaging passenger trains. The strikes follow recent large-scale Russian attacks on natural gas facilities and continued drone and missile bombardments aimed at crippling Ukraine’s energy grid. US →On Monday, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker and Chicago officials accused the Trump administration of staging a “military-style invasion” of the city through aggressive immigration raids and plans to deploy the National Guard, warning that Trump is using such actions to create chaos and justify invoking the Insurrection Act. The state and city filed a lawsuit to block the troop deployment, calling it an illegal political stunt. In addition, Chicago’s mayor signed an executive order declaring the city an “ICE-free zone,” which is expected to further intensify tensions between local and federal authorities. →The federal government shutdown has entered its seventh day on Oct. 7 with no resolution after Senate Democrats rejected a Republican funding bill for the fifth time. Although President Trump signaled openness to extending Affordable Care Act subsidies, questions concerning the status of 750,000 furloughed federal workers still remain. Cyber →A 13-year-old student in Florida was arrested after asking ChatGPT how to kill a classmate, a query that was flagged by the school’s monitoring software, Gaggle. The incident has reignited debate over the use of AI and surveillance tools in schools, raising questions about student safety, privacy, and the effectiveness of parental and institutional controls in preventing potential threats. |
| Resources: US Department of State Travel Advisories CISA: nation-state cybersecurity threats and other resources for cybersecurity matters. Our latest blog post examining data security on social media. |
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